As it happens, I did research on the subject this year. I am going to copy and paste a post I made elsewhere, then put in an afterword.
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Ok, so let's adopt the Canadian model. We'll completely ignore the startup costs and just look at ongoing expenses.
What's Canada's per capita cost?
About $4000
What's the US population? About
327,000,000
That's 1.3 trillion annually, or about 31% of the US budget.
That looks like a lot, until you look over
here, and see that we're already spending 1.191 trillion on Medicare/medicaid. In this vein, it looks as though single payer isn't a huge financial stretch for the US.
BUT, from the same source, our overall spend on health care in 2015 was 3.2 trillion. There is no way in hell that 2 trillion in spending is just going to go *poof* because you change the spending model. Either it's physically impossible and we're going to have to quintuple (or more) taxes to cover the sudden government expenditure, or we're going to force 25%+ of our economy into a depression from which it might never recover.
Then there's a reality most people just don't want to face. You're going to turn over health care to the same people who brought you the TSA, serving a citizenry who sue over anything they don't like. Sitting here in Tennessee, where we got HillaryCare, the litigation has finally started to peter out after over 20 years. (
few examples from a Google search).
In short, this isn't a simple issue. Philosophically, I'd love single payer for a number of reasons, not least of which is worker rights. But practically, I don't know if we can afford to implement it. My brother-in-law is mentally disabled and has Tenncare. I instead opted to pay for his health care directly, as most facilities that take Tenncare in the Nashville area - where we have more health care facilities per capita than just about anyone - are abysmal.
I don't have an answer. Wish I did.
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I would have to pay an additional $16,000 in taxes per year just to cover my family, 3 of whom do not have full time jobs (stay at home mother and 2 kids). The working population is about
154 million on a population of roughly 320 million. To be generous, we'll say that under-the-table employment and the black market raises the figure enough to be 50% of the population working to support themselves and the non-working half of the population. That means each working individual must contribute $8,000 in taxes for health care to cover themselves and one other person. As the median income is
~$31,000, it can be seen that this is not affordable at the individual level for at least 50% of the population.
Before going any further into any other area, I've already had to make so many assumptions that it's nearing the point of absurdity to talk about this. First, to think we're not going to pay more than $4,000 per person is a fantasy. For one thing, the Canadian model doesn't include
prescription drugs, dentistry, vision care, rehabilitative service or home health care. For another, we would need to talk tax rates for the wealthy, businesses, and the political fallout from favoritism, discrimination, exemptions, etc (as an example, unions being exempt from Obamacare taxation and limitation). And again we'd need to talk about the significant percentage of the work force that would suddenly be out of a job (medical billing, insurance workers, etc) and impacting our economy.
This is not an simple subject to deal with. There is no easy fix. I'm not certain economies of scale would enable the US to have a universal health care system and maintain high quality. Some things just don't scale from small to large. I'd certainly love for it to, if only for the selfish reason of having my health care completely divorced from my employer, making my skill set more valuable and portable now that it is more affordable to employers.
Note: I was forced to stop paying for my brother-in-law's health care. Legally, I mean. By law, I
MUST take him to TennCare-accepting facilities or he will lose not only those benefits, but other government programs.